Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.094848 0.109835 0.126222 0.145444 0.167348 0.191500 0.220122
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.073487 0.093566 0.117462 0.147885 0.185471 0.230255 0.287525
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.060224 0.083392 0.113091 0.153690 0.207445 0.275841 0.369065
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.047620 0.071244 0.103659 0.150920 0.217506 0.307303 0.436756
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.041481 0.066456 0.102837 0.158942 0.242337 0.360540 0.539239
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.035270 0.060250 0.098724 0.161218 0.258782 0.403465 0.631789
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.029157 0.052967 0.091640 0.157612 0.265459 0.432265 0.706165
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.024655 0.047444 0.086335 0.155757 0.274141 0.464406 0.788271
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.022665 0.045894 0.087299 0.164200 0.300237 0.526239 0.923005
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020792 0.044198 0.087678 0.171509 0.325000 0.587997 1.063149
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.017617 0.039413 0.081694 0.166452 0.327265 0.611713 1.140955
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.015357 0.036055 0.077869 0.164790 0.335246 0.645725 1.239212
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012997 0.032110 0.072406 0.159420 0.336020 0.667607 1.319329
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011240 0.029168 0.068548 0.156721 0.341603 0.698826 1.419539
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010205 0.027700 0.067590 0.159889 0.359188 0.754290 1.570274
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008760 0.024954 0.063380 0.155449 0.360518 0.778203 1.662221
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008270 0.024532 0.064421 0.162802 0.387617 0.855809 1.866808
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007500 0.023217 0.063141 0.164638 0.402849 0.910516 2.029754
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006520 0.021126 0.059629 0.160699 0.404664 0.937313 2.137367
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.005764 0.019509 0.057056 0.158669 0.410560 0.973202 2.266955
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.005549 0.019469 0.058607 0.167177 0.442159 1.067757 2.530008
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.005297 0.019261 0.059673 0.174563 0.471808 1.160411 2.796058
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.004607 0.017503 0.056162 0.169397 0.469998 1.181743 2.905417